Updraft

IThe survey

Who got the bottom of the curve.

Every launch on Ascend's testnet, read from the chain up to block 11,040,000: how much of each token the creator side bought in its first 60 seconds, and what the next token cost for it.

49

launches opened with a dev-buy

of 251, the creator buying first in the launch transaction

33

where the creator side took over 20% of supply

dev-buy, own buys and wallets it funded, in the first minute

98%

of supply to the creator side in the worst case

token 0x8627…a225, 98.3% exactly

12.8×

what the next token cost against the dev's average, at the steepest

after a dev-buy of 88.8% of supply

Launches read
251
Creator side over 5%
46
Any outside buyer in the first minute
17
Median next-buyer premium
1.006×

Source: Ascend testnet, 251 launches up to block 11,040,000, Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 18, 2026.

The raw data, as JSON

IIThe early bird

Launch by launch, the share that went to the creator side.

On most launches the creator side bought next to nothing: the median is 0.01%, and 72 saw no creator-side buying at all. The damage sits in the tail: 46 launches above 5%, 33 above a fifth of supply.

IIIThe next perch

What the next token cost.

A dev-buy moves the price before anyone else can buy. We compare the price right after it with the dev's own average price. Small dev-buys barely move it; the big ones leave the next buyer paying several times more.

26under 1.01×101.01 to 1.1×61.1 to 2×12 to 5×45 to 10×310× and over

Fig. 2. One bird per launch with a dev-buy, 50 in all, over what the next token cost against the dev's average price. Median 1.006×. In 7 launches the next token cost 5× or more; every one of them opened with a dev-buy of at least 62% of supply.

IVThe ledger

The launches where the creator side took the most.

Each row links to the token and its launch transaction on the Elysium explorer, so every number here can be checked by hand.

The 15 launches where the creator side bought the largest share of supply in the first minute
#TokenLaunched (UTC)Dev-buyCreator sideEveryone elseNext buyer paidLaunch tx
10x8627…a225Oct 8, 08:3988.8%0%12.8×0x4b76…ffc6
20x0a78…8d50Oct 8, 09:0285.8%0%11.4×0x25cc…8f28
30x8b0E…9F32Oct 7, 09:0485.0%0%11.2×0x117f…f840
40x86e0…6B4COct 7, 09:0570.0%0%6.20×0xaea6…28b7
50xB158…964COct 12, 18:0568.1%0%6.12×0x1bc2…666c
60x6e94…b92dOct 8, 08:3767.0%0%6.12×0x1bc9…c10f
70x3D24…b991Oct 7, 09:0762.0%0%6.14×0xf200…3d77
80xe9D5…c6a1Oct 8, 08:3439.3%0%2.95×0xd6d5…af58
90xDbC9…4048Oct 4, 02:320.27%0%1.005×0x3aaa…2bad
100x5ab6…21AeOct 4, 02:420.27%0%1.005×0x9b63…16ac
110x6798…296cOct 4, 18:540.27%0%1.005×0xacd0…067f
120x3076…8d00Oct 4, 19:000.27%0%1.005×0x4225…bd78
130xd710…EB14Oct 6, 04:050.27%0%1.005×0x63cf…21e2
140x0bD5…3e1AOct 6, 04:090.27%0%1.005×0x8d45…ccd4
150xA8e0…7C35Oct 15, 19:260.27%0%1.005×0x3706…733f
Every launch, all 251, with its launchpad the table behind Fig. 1
All 251 launches, by creator-side share of supply
#TokenLaunched (UTC)PadDev-buyCreator sideEveryone elseNext buyer paidLaunch tx
10x8627…a225Oct 8, 08:39388.8%0%12.8×0x4b76…ffc6
20x0a78…8d50Oct 8, 09:02385.8%0%11.4×0x25cc…8f28
30x8b0E…9F32Oct 7, 09:04385.0%0%11.2×0x117f…f840
40x86e0…6B4COct 7, 09:05370.0%0%6.20×0xaea6…28b7
50xB158…964COct 12, 18:05368.1%0%6.12×0x1bc2…666c
60x6e94…b92dOct 8, 08:37367.0%0%6.12×0x1bc9…c10f
70x3D24…b991Oct 7, 09:07362.0%0%6.14×0xf200…3d77
80xe9D5…c6a1Oct 8, 08:34339.3%0%2.95×0xd6d5…af58
90xDbC9…4048Oct 4, 02:3210.27%0%1.005×0x3aaa…2bad
100x5ab6…21AeOct 4, 02:4210.27%0%1.005×0x9b63…16ac
110x6798…296cOct 4, 18:5420.27%0%1.005×0xacd0…067f
120x3076…8d00Oct 4, 19:0020.27%0%1.005×0x4225…bd78
130xd710…EB14Oct 6, 04:0530.27%0%1.005×0x63cf…21e2
140x0bD5…3e1AOct 6, 04:0930.27%0%1.005×0x8d45…ccd4
150xA8e0…7C35Oct 15, 19:2640.27%0%1.005×0x3706…733f
160x0aCA…C9c9Oct 15, 19:3040.27%0%1.005×0x89f0…04d2
170xa9EB…6e6BOct 4, 03:1210.12%0%1.002×0x6cbf…d4e5
180x10DD…4b61Oct 4, 18:5020.12%0%1.002×0x35ee…6f93
190x0481…650fOct 6, 04:0430.12%0%1.002×0x5fcd…33a2
200xA3c9…513BOct 6, 04:0730.12%0%1.002×0x5f01…e940
210x77b5…7819Oct 15, 19:2440.12%0%1.002×0x5dfc…c712
220xfFE9…dAe3Oct 15, 19:2840.12%0%1.002×0xf2e4…5cf5
230x67af…8e9DOct 15, 11:3230%0%no dev-buy0x9e1d…95ef
240x0Cb1…6043Oct 15, 11:3530%0%no dev-buy0x7075…dc9c
250x1413…cDEbOct 15, 12:3930%0%no dev-buy0x4daa…69ee
260x9716…99EfOct 15, 12:3730%0%no dev-buy0xecaa…5b65
270x20c9…2253Oct 4, 00:5510.32%0%1.006×0x91f3…8164
280xC86A…7e6eOct 4, 18:3820.32%0%1.006×0x5a9f…d12d
290x019a…7b70Oct 6, 03:5530.32%0%1.006×0x3f6d…1ed5
300xFcdA…B0acOct 15, 18:2940.32%0%1.006×0x55ac…7dd6
310x137C…C6d2Oct 14, 23:5430%0%no dev-buy0xfd98…7a51
320x37e5…179aOct 15, 12:3430%0%no dev-buy0xb40c…3da3
330xfb0d…7B8EOct 14, 23:5430%0%no dev-buy0x55d7…1625
340x20D7…3774Oct 15, 11:3030%0%no dev-buy0x2712…929a
350xE4B9…993EOct 14, 23:5130%0%no dev-buy0xe67c…18d9
360xC9AF…765eOct 14, 23:5230%0%no dev-buy0x08ec…59ec
370xa4D2…203eOct 14, 23:5330%0%no dev-buy0x139d…8bbc
380x4FAA…64dbOct 8, 14:50317.5%0%1.45×0x09b8…3ebc
390x8444…7645Oct 14, 23:5130%0%no dev-buy0xce7e…fe72
400x34Cc…5174Oct 8, 08:11310.3%0%1.22×0x0d4f…68db
410x7254…1322Oct 17, 19:08410.3%0%1.22×0xac49…d033
420xeEFC…aCC7Oct 14, 23:4630%0%no dev-buy0x1f19…8684
430xbAc8…90B3Oct 15, 21:5040%0%no dev-buy0xb4a6…8787
440xd886…79abOct 9, 18:2037.6%0%1.16×0x7c7e…76c3
450x13A7…60FcOct 16, 02:4845.7%0%1.11×0x0f4d…40e7
460x5Ece…084dOct 17, 07:0545.7%0%1.11×0x067f…42ba
470xd586…bD7cOct 14, 23:4730%0%no dev-buy0x578e…69ce
480x83EB…C0CFOct 14, 23:4730%0%no dev-buy0x9739…ef08
490x7828…c0F0Oct 14, 23:4830%0%no dev-buy0xac6f…f6a2
500x4764…22BeOct 15, 14:1930%0%no dev-buy0xbb1f…325f
510x409F…6106Oct 15, 16:3930%0%no dev-buy0x1f7d…e514
520x53dA…74a5Oct 15, 14:1630%0%no dev-buy0x9ab9…44a8
530xaFEf…ea1BOct 15, 16:3630%0%no dev-buy0xcef7…a947
540x4426…D294Oct 8, 16:2732.4%0%1.045×0xc718…ce9c
550xaE9F…f37FOct 15, 14:2130%0%no dev-buy0x7e15…86bf
560x24d3…8bf8Oct 4, 01:1910.01%0%1.000×0x99c6…e059
570x7856…9E20Oct 8, 10:3331.2%0%1.022×0xc39c…b71f
580xa2e5…6015Oct 8, 16:2031.2%0%1.022×0xd354…1074
590xB084…266COct 8, 16:3131.2%0%1.022×0xcf3b…522b
600x1C7f…7aE3Oct 9, 07:4631.2%0%1.022×0x92a4…8e85
610x2E92…3dC5Oct 11, 00:2031.2%0%1.022×0xf568…819e
620x8297…110COct 4, 02:4510.32%0%1.006×0x053d…36f3
630xBf5C…c034Oct 4, 19:0320.32%0%1.006×0xa3fc…adac
640xcaEB…7f15Oct 6, 04:2130.32%0%1.006×0xad37…39dc
650x3E76…4e35Oct 16, 02:1840.62%0%1.011×0xf55a…fc79
660x3394…2019Oct 16, 15:1940.62%0%1.011×0xe8d0…ea08
670xa661…811bOct 17, 05:4240.62%0%1.011×0xe782…50b3
680xe6A0…ABFbOct 18, 12:2840.62%0%1.011×0xdad5…c76c
690xDed3…Fe46Oct 8, 14:1330.12%0%1.002×0x95fe…d1f3
700x8E18…485fOct 4, 01:2210.12%0%1.002×0xa6bc…ebe5
710xd18a…f9c7Oct 14, 14:4330.06%0%1.001×0x4fa3…c023
720xf1Bf…54ceOct 6, 10:4630%0%no dev-buy0xfd82…4fa9
730x54c4…422FOct 6, 11:3130%0%no dev-buy0x9d9d…0465
740xFee4…e0fcOct 6, 11:3130%0%no dev-buy0x01d5…36e5
750x9E2B…D46cOct 6, 11:3130%0%no dev-buy0x966b…96cb
760x485D…aC70Oct 7, 09:0530%0%no dev-buy0x0456…ee08
770xaE2f…D216Oct 7, 09:0530%0%no dev-buy0x0626…56c3
780x2E1B…4430Oct 7, 09:0630%0%no dev-buy0x1b1c…1850
790xaC53…82E5Oct 9, 07:5330%0%no dev-buy0x6465…a9e9
800xfC5d…1443Oct 9, 07:5330%0%no dev-buy0x3fe3…286f
810x6D37…5F93Oct 9, 07:5330%0%no dev-buy0x779c…17b9
820x5A2e…9589Oct 9, 08:3230%0%no dev-buy0x43b7…109c
830x4486…EdefOct 9, 10:3930%0%no dev-buy0x589c…588c
840x5Ef9…b3DdOct 9, 10:3930%0%no dev-buy0x7561…470d
850xe27f…C3B8Oct 9, 10:3930%0%no dev-buy0x143b…3cc0
860x98a7…ACBCOct 9, 10:4930%0%no dev-buy0xb542…59bd
870x6413…6c5fOct 9, 10:5030%0%no dev-buy0xb236…088e
880x99d4…A89eOct 9, 10:5030%0%no dev-buy0x0ead…d35d
890xF39A…3448Oct 9, 10:5030%0%no dev-buy0xa383…43ba
900xb09C…d125Oct 9, 10:5030%0%no dev-buy0x1ce4…858d
910xFF51…C104Oct 9, 10:5030%0%no dev-buy0x8385…7452
920xF98b…8Ae9Oct 9, 10:5130%0%no dev-buy0x284d…688a
930x7b8F…bd5EOct 9, 10:5130%0%no dev-buy0x4ba2…846c
940xb302…3a46Oct 9, 10:5130%0%no dev-buy0xd467…2ec1
950xC2BF…35B9Oct 9, 10:5130%0%no dev-buy0x9b7d…8398
960x6EB9…6Ab4Oct 9, 10:5130%0%no dev-buy0x626a…0937
970x9fC8…af64Oct 9, 10:5130%0%no dev-buy0x05ab…1f68
980xDA94…a6afOct 9, 10:5130%0%no dev-buy0xf0e3…619b
990xa283…50C0Oct 9, 10:5230%0%no dev-buy0x67c5…4a02
1000x1AaC…38d3Oct 9, 10:5230%0%no dev-buy0x2fa8…0e74
1010x2EE3…e7cFOct 9, 10:5230%0%no dev-buy0x1217…d0a6
1020x71fF…D4d9Oct 9, 10:5230%0%no dev-buy0xf541…fa83
1030xd6cd…Af25Oct 9, 10:5230%0%no dev-buy0x7bc8…8b17
1040x8F24…7B2FOct 9, 10:5230%0%no dev-buy0xd323…5868
1050x7e58…254bOct 9, 10:5230%0%no dev-buy0xe01f…39b7
1060x41d0…d59EOct 9, 10:5230%0%no dev-buy0xc8d3…6bf7
1070xEeFE…e566Oct 9, 10:5330%0%no dev-buy0xa7b8…5fb1
1080x56CA…Bd5cOct 9, 10:5330%0%no dev-buy0x824d…458d
1090x3211…7623Oct 9, 10:5330%0%no dev-buy0x97b2…eb43
1100x15c7…Cf0eOct 9, 10:5330%0%no dev-buy0x9e91…a170
1110xd85B…abF0Oct 9, 10:5330%0%no dev-buy0x1119…8dfb
1120xC8Ba…3a38Oct 9, 10:5430%0%no dev-buy0x31d5…d27e
1130x575f…D6E1Oct 9, 10:5430%0%no dev-buy0x7446…e65b
1140xa2a4…B033Oct 9, 10:5430%0%no dev-buy0xf8f7…26f6
1150x3134…9E8FOct 9, 10:5430%0%no dev-buy0x24ed…7182
1160xF2F4…2b5dOct 9, 10:5430%0%no dev-buy0xfe03…7102
1170x373E…bCf9Oct 9, 10:5430%0%no dev-buy0xf957…52de
1180x3A8D…EFA4Oct 9, 10:5430%0%no dev-buy0x8bde…939d
1190xd214…4227Oct 9, 10:5530%0%no dev-buy0x910d…b93f
1200x81d0…99DBOct 9, 10:5530%0%no dev-buy0x8136…1c47
1210x3146…1D9bOct 9, 10:5530%0%no dev-buy0x5c2c…98a1
1220xEFCA…3127Oct 9, 10:5530%0%no dev-buy0x82d0…5875
1230x6421…6A76Oct 9, 10:5530%0%no dev-buy0xa459…4db6
1240x46C8…305COct 9, 10:5530%0%no dev-buy0x3070…7ce2
1250xcea8…8985Oct 9, 10:5630%0%no dev-buy0x4870…08da
1260xfe5F…a85aOct 9, 10:5630%0%no dev-buy0x70d0…2ee9
1270xf23b…89deOct 9, 10:5630%0%no dev-buy0x4c01…d279
1280x456D…0eDfOct 9, 10:5630%0%no dev-buy0x50ea…4986
1290xCc1A…2B9EOct 9, 10:5630%0%no dev-buy0x4214…c480
1300x3F14…3A63Oct 9, 10:5630%0%no dev-buy0xc881…92b8
1310xC8A8…0125Oct 9, 10:5630%0%no dev-buy0xa66b…cc2e
1320x80e1…5A8FOct 9, 10:5730%0%no dev-buy0x4fae…e9c2
1330x01B4…4508Oct 9, 10:5730%0%no dev-buy0xf7a5…30dc
1340x75A8…88B2Oct 9, 10:5830%0%no dev-buy0x3dc8…3212
1350x96c8…FEAdOct 9, 10:5930%0%no dev-buy0x3d19…ef2d
1360x0fFF…699BOct 11, 11:0830%0%no dev-buy0x9948…c1bd
1370xEA92…a67cOct 11, 11:5830%0%no dev-buy0x671b…9755
1380x68De…291EOct 11, 11:5930%0%no dev-buy0x6874…e9b6
1390x15A4…C937Oct 11, 11:5930%0%no dev-buy0x12ca…3efb
1400x707F…2448Oct 11, 11:5930%0%no dev-buy0xb99d…42ad
1410x5cA9…6B53Oct 11, 11:5930%0%no dev-buy0x9ab0…5353
1420x632c…A87BOct 11, 12:0630%0%no dev-buy0x5071…b89f
1430xbff8…6B97Oct 11, 12:0730%0%no dev-buy0xb0ff…9a8f
1440x83e8…96AEOct 11, 12:0730%0%no dev-buy0xf786…5fbc
1450x3A81…4F3EOct 11, 12:0830%0%no dev-buy0x93ed…e1fb
1460xfe1D…db87Oct 11, 12:0830%0%no dev-buy0xc665…a823
1470x1A30…45FDOct 11, 12:0930%0%no dev-buy0x63a6…31fe
1480x149E…6844Oct 11, 14:4830%0%no dev-buy0xe217…5611
1490xabb2…3b3DOct 11, 14:4930%0%no dev-buy0xe2df…c4f6
1500x4CE9…62B1Oct 11, 14:4930%0%no dev-buy0x3ce8…b659
1510x6F78…fEDCOct 11, 15:1630%0%no dev-buy0x6085…4d7a
1520x07B6…65beOct 11, 15:1630%0%no dev-buy0x4e40…6a02
1530xf837…090fOct 11, 15:1730%0%no dev-buy0xda2a…7ac4
1540xc76F…5bFcOct 11, 15:1730%0%no dev-buy0xd007…28bb
1550x6652…e8d1Oct 11, 15:1730%0%no dev-buy0xaf79…b964
1560x0423…551COct 11, 15:1830%0%no dev-buy0x49b7…0a52
1570x5472…Bd98Oct 11, 15:1930%0%no dev-buy0x88da…6d1d
1580x0d31…86E6Oct 11, 15:1930%0%no dev-buy0xaacb…d897
1590xB96C…2063Oct 11, 15:1930%0%no dev-buy0x79da…d5c8
1600x4a91…6C0bOct 11, 15:2030%0%no dev-buy0x11a7…b965
1610x6B3E…50f7Oct 11, 15:2130%0%no dev-buy0x3ec3…bde6
1620xA1c9…aaDdOct 11, 15:2130%0%no dev-buy0xbca5…6502
1630x698d…C292Oct 11, 15:2230%0%no dev-buy0x897d…fd18
1640xD446…d5A6Oct 11, 15:2330%0%no dev-buy0xaf78…aaa0
1650x4c66…6976Oct 11, 15:2430%0%no dev-buy0x07c3…447f
1660xE4cB…D94AOct 11, 15:2430%0%no dev-buy0x4c3b…0e90
1670x766b…dc46Oct 11, 15:2530%0%no dev-buy0x8a3c…a41c
1680x01cF…f052Oct 11, 15:2630%0%no dev-buy0xaec2…3e0d
1690xB664…3b67Oct 11, 15:2630%0%no dev-buy0x91a6…8e68
1700x863E…99BDOct 11, 15:3330%0%no dev-buy0xd7af…b6bf
1710x3D45…4d73Oct 11, 15:3330%0%no dev-buy0x4932…3050
1720x0996…3E05Oct 11, 15:3330%0%no dev-buy0x6a21…d171
1730x5B54…e887Oct 11, 15:3430%0%no dev-buy0xa834…8798
1740x78c8…7579Oct 11, 15:3530%0%no dev-buy0x8e6e…f17a
1750x56B4…7b3COct 11, 15:3530%0%no dev-buy0xa4f4…5779
1760x21Ff…AAD2Oct 11, 15:3530%0%no dev-buy0x40e7…bc36
1770x4E78…69D6Oct 11, 15:3630%0%no dev-buy0x7770…c96e
1780x0dd3…522EOct 11, 15:3630%0%no dev-buy0xb921…e75e
1790x6E69…dc89Oct 11, 15:3730%0%no dev-buy0x5248…2c69
1800xb152…EBe8Oct 4, 02:3710%0%1.000×0xfb68…cbdc
1810xCd46…4C55Oct 6, 11:3230%0%no dev-buy0xe386…2978
1820x3369…A6feOct 6, 11:3230%0%no dev-buy0xb1c2…cf9a
1830x636f…0BC2Oct 7, 09:0430%0%no dev-buy0xbd51…eff1
1840x8111…b036Oct 7, 09:0630%0%no dev-buy0x8752…dfc3
1850x8CaE…b64cOct 7, 09:0730%0%no dev-buy0xa8e7…ab14
1860x20d2…860dOct 8, 11:1830%0%no dev-buy0x5fb8…8791
1870x2a69…A199Oct 8, 12:0530%0%no dev-buy0x9406…d6dd
1880x8aBA…27BAOct 8, 12:0730%0%no dev-buy0x1401…4288
1890x44FE…79EAOct 8, 22:3730%0%no dev-buy0x824c…f727
1900x54CE…5215Oct 9, 08:3230%0%no dev-buy0xbe22…0b91
1910x05Ab…5638Oct 9, 08:3330%0%no dev-buy0xd749…c802
1920xCcbE…C860Oct 9, 10:5030%0%no dev-buy0x00dc…0ab9
1930xA96C…38B5Oct 9, 10:5030%0%no dev-buy0xc6c4…f0af
1940xcf3a…Dc18Oct 9, 10:5130%0%no dev-buy0x848e…a682
1950xa9f9…Ce7eOct 9, 10:5330%0%no dev-buy0x8658…67e6
1960xb5F3…82B2Oct 9, 10:5330%0%no dev-buy0x10c2…c9d1
1970xBb51…14c3Oct 9, 10:5430%0%no dev-buy0xbeb7…e040
1980x8B2F…092EOct 9, 10:5530%0%no dev-buy0xe605…f61f
1990x3d4E…3066Oct 9, 10:5730%0%no dev-buy0x47ac…bc41
2000xC653…4bd5Oct 9, 13:2030%0%no dev-buy0xcb32…e3c6
2010xCA6b…93DcOct 11, 14:4830%0%no dev-buy0x8053…7cb6
2020x025A…3A25Oct 11, 15:2430%0%no dev-buy0x85ab…3688
2030x6375…2549Oct 11, 15:2530%0%no dev-buy0x68d5…9678
2040xD1BB…2dF1Oct 11, 15:3430%0%no dev-buy0x2352…e41e
2050x6714…1011Oct 12, 00:5730%0.20%no dev-buy0x514a…d4d2
2060xC33b…CC1EOct 12, 00:5930%0.01%no dev-buy0xc106…f254
2070x5800…183EOct 12, 02:2830%0%no dev-buy0xfa38…9500
2080xfd47…F57COct 12, 02:3230%6.6%no dev-buy0x83ad…f6dc
2090xEc78…e065Oct 12, 02:3530%0%no dev-buy0xafd4…b606
2100xe6cb…a603Oct 12, 02:3530%6.6%no dev-buy0x13c7…75f6
2110x9de3…B494Oct 12, 12:2330%6.6%no dev-buy0xcd2e…4365
2120x28D5…5dF5Oct 12, 12:4430%6.6%no dev-buy0xa778…c2ca
2130xA8f4…21b9Oct 12, 12:4530%6.6%no dev-buy0xdb05…8356
2140xce1E…a266Oct 12, 12:4830%0%no dev-buy0x012d…0a81
2150xe933…9219Oct 12, 12:4830%6.6%no dev-buy0xcd25…4426
2160xAfcE…DBBbOct 12, 13:4130%0%no dev-buy0x1a2f…1654
2170x654f…e584Oct 12, 13:4230%0.06%no dev-buy0xdaab…a291
2180x7f10…EE92Oct 12, 13:4330%4.4%no dev-buy0x7f21…12e4
2190x6c5c…4235Oct 12, 13:4430%4.4%no dev-buy0x185f…aa82
2200x1809…6987Oct 14, 18:5930%0.06%no dev-buy0x0d28…2c0e
2210x048a…b1C5Oct 14, 19:3630%0%no dev-buy0x0968…8d78
2220x8cEA…34EdOct 14, 21:3130%0%no dev-buy0xca02…0358
2230x3f3A…1Fe3Oct 15, 08:4930%0%no dev-buy0x6ec9…6dc9
2240xa79c…5442Oct 15, 12:0030%0%no dev-buy0xd87e…be1f
2250xc724…6f5EOct 15, 15:5830%0%no dev-buy0xe66b…b954
2260x7e75…6bB4Oct 15, 15:5930%0%no dev-buy0xf342…6025
2270xa69C…cE12Oct 15, 16:0030%0%no dev-buy0x61fe…7da1
2280x2f7A…05E6Oct 15, 16:3530%0%no dev-buy0x5da9…f542
2290xB985…D26aOct 15, 16:3630%0%no dev-buy0xd05b…5f53
2300x5d8E…e1e5Oct 15, 16:5130%0%no dev-buy0xcfe1…015c
2310xF8Cd…56d8Oct 15, 16:5230%0%no dev-buy0xf481…aa9b
2320x6197…a8F8Oct 15, 17:1230%0%no dev-buy0x2e1a…e9a5
2330xBfEb…2726Oct 15, 18:1930%0%no dev-buy0x0ca1…0e87
2340x7703…3a6FOct 15, 18:1930%0%no dev-buy0xb0bd…6047
2350x84B2…eDa1Oct 15, 20:5140%0.06%no dev-buy0x5792…0da1
2360xA5bD…2357Oct 15, 21:2640%0.06%no dev-buy0xf7dc…f1de
2370x6D5F…15C0Oct 15, 21:2840%0.06%no dev-buy0x457e…f289
2380x22bd…e85DOct 15, 22:0340%0%no dev-buy0x95d1…40b3
2390x0e70…9c41Oct 16, 20:0040%0%no dev-buy0x30ce…b68d
2400x8216…3448Oct 16, 20:0140%0.49%no dev-buy0x87ca…cfdb
2410xC8C6…2DA7Oct 16, 21:5440%0.14%no dev-buy0x2041…05f5
2420x2ADe…41f8Oct 17, 04:3440%0%no dev-buy0x998f…c5b3
2430x6949…Be5FOct 17, 04:3740%0%no dev-buy0xf5d3…2986
2440xedB6…251BOct 17, 08:2940%0%no dev-buy0x3cb6…c34c
2450xE224…BD94Oct 17, 08:4740%0%no dev-buy0xf1c3…e22c
2460xF122…D819Oct 17, 11:2240%0%no dev-buy0x6596…9263
2470xe43F…C633Oct 17, 11:5240%0%no dev-buy0x1d08…d7c9
2480xEAf4…f08cOct 17, 22:0040%0%no dev-buy0x7c82…627d
2490xA1A3…D554Oct 17, 22:0340%0%no dev-buy0xab9a…fa3f
2500x3abA…92DAOct 18, 10:1740%0%no dev-buy0xe69e…702c
2510x828C…edaeOct 18, 10:1940%0%no dev-buy0x13dd…3885

VMethod

How it was counted, and how to count it again.

The run is deterministic for a pinned block. Point it at block 11,040,000 and you get the same 251 launches and the same numbers.

  1. a

    Launches: every Launched event on the four Ascend testnet launchpads up to the pinned block.

  2. b

    Insiders: the dev-buy, plus buys in the window by the creator, the launch transaction's sender, or wallets whose first HYPE came from either.

  3. c

    Others: every other buy in the window. Buyers are transaction senders; buys are pool-manager swaps that receive the token and pay the quote.

  4. d

    Shares are of the fixed 1B supply; the price ratio compares quote paid per token by others vs insiders inside the window.

Reproduce it

$ TO_BLOCK=11040000 pnpm --filter @updraft/analysis start
Pinned block
11,040,000, Oct 18, 14:01 UTC
Window
first 60 seconds after each launch
Launchpad 1
0xc051…01D9, 8 launches
Launchpad 2
0xed6E…19F4, 5 launches
Launchpad 3
0xE2f6…d8E9, 208 launches
Launchpad 4
0x6d01…bF3d, 30 launches

The output is served as JSON at /analysis